Publications

http://kaboompics.com/photo/2223/book-on-the-grass

A full list of publications produced by the UK Drought and Water Scarcity programme (by project).

Jump to a project:

Historic Droughts

Book Chapters

In: Andreu, J. et. al. (eds.) Drought: research and science-policy interfacing. Leiden, CRC Press/Balkema, 287-292.

  • Barker, L., A preliminary assessment of meteorological and hydrological drought indicators for application to catchments across the UK.
  • Hannaford, J., Enhancing drought Monitoring and Early Warning by linking indicators to impacts.
  • Parry, S., Chronology of drought termination for long records in the Thames catchment.

Lange, B., Command and control standards and cross-jurisdictional harmonization. In: Lees, E. et. al. (eds.) The Oxford Handbook of Comparative Environmental Law.

McEnery, T. et al., Working at the interface of hydrology and corpus linguistics: using corpora to identify unrecorded droughts in nineteenth-century Britain. In: Egbert, J. et. al. (eds.) Using Corpus Methods to Triangulate Linguistic Analysis.

Journal Articles

Barker L. et. al., (2019) Historic hydrological droughts 1891–2015: systematic characterisation for a diverse set of catchments across the UK. Hydrology and Earth System Sciences Discussions. https://www.hydrol-earth-syst-sci-discuss.net/hess-2019-202/

Ascott, M.J. et al., (2020) Managing groundwater supplies subject to drought: perspectives on current status and future priorities from England (UK). Hydrogeology Journal. https://doi.org/10.1007/s10040-020-02249-0

Bloomfield J. et. al., (2015) Regional analysis of groundwater droughts using hydrograph classification. Hydrology and Earth System Sciences. http://dx.doi.org/10.5194/hess-19-4327-2015

Bloomfield J. et. al., (2019) Changes in groundwater drought associated with anthropogenic warming. Hydrology and Earth System Sciences. http://dx.doi.org/10.5194/hess-23-1393-2019

Dayrell, C. et. al., (2022) Representation of Drought Events in the United Kingdom: Contrasting 200 years of News Texts and Rainfall Records. Fronters in Environmental Science. https://doi.org/10.3389/fenvs.2022.760147

Folland C., (2015) Multi-annual droughts in the English Lowlands: a review of their characteristics and climate drivers in the winter half-year. Hydrology and Earth System Sciences. http://dx.doi.org/10.5194/hess-19-2353-2015

Hannaford, J., (2019) Enhancing Drought Monitoring and Early Warning for the United Kingdom through Stakeholder Coinquiries. Weather, Climate and Society. https://doi.org/10.1175/WCAS-D-18-0042.1

Haro-Monteagudo D. et. al., (2018) Exploring the utility of drought indicators to assess climate risks to agricultural productivity in a humid climate. Hydrology Research. http://dx.doi.org/10.2166/nh.2017.010

Hollis D. et. al., (2019) HadUK-Grid – A new UK dataset of gridded climate observations. Geosciences Data Journal. https://doi.org/10.1002/gdj3.78

Holman I. et. al., (2021) A Multi-Level Framework for Adaptation to Drought Within Temperate Agriculture. Frontiers in Environmental Science. https://doi.org/10.3389/fenvs.2020.589871

Jackson C. et. al., (2015) Evidence for changes in historic and future groundwater levels in the UK. Progress in Physical Geography: Earth and Environment. http://dx.doi.org/10.1177/0309133314550668

Jackson C. et. al., (2016) Reconstruction of multi-decadal groundwater level time-series using a lumped conceptual model. Hydrological Processes. http://dx.doi.org/10.1002/hyp.10850

Lange B. et. al., (2015) Mapping a Developing Governance Space: Managing Drought in the UK. Current Legal Problems. http://dx.doi.org/10.1093/CLP/CUV014

Lange B. et. al., (2017) A framework for a joint hydro-meteorological-social analysis of drought. Sci Total Environ. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.scitotenv.2016.10.145

Marchant B. et. al., (2016) Quantifying uncertainty in predictions of groundwater levels using formal likelihood methods. Journal of Hydrology. http://dx.doi.org/10.1016/j.jhydrol.2016.06.014

Marchant B. et. al., (2018) Spatio-temporal modelling of the status of groundwater droughts. Journal of Hydrology. http://dx.doi.org/10.1016/j.jhydrol.2018.07.009

Parry S. et. al., (2016) A systematic assessment of drought termination in the United Kingdom. Hydrology and Earth System Sciences. https://www.hydrol-earth-syst-sci.net/20/4265/2016/

Parsons D. et. al., (2019) Regional variations in the link between drought indices and reported agricultural impacts of drought. Agricultural Systems. http://dx.doi.org/10.1016/j.agsy.2019.02.015

Rey D. et. al., (2016) Modelling and mapping the economic value of supplemental irrigation in a humid climate. Agricultural Water Management. http://dx.doi.org/10.1016/j.agwat.2016.04.017

Rey D. et. al., (2017) Developing drought resilience in irrigated agriculture in the face of increasing water scarcity. Regional Environmental Change. http://dx.doi.org/10.1007/s10113-017-1116-6

Rey D. et. al., (2018) Role of economic instruments in water allocation reform: lessons from Europe. International Journal of Water Resources Development. http://dx.doi.org/10.1080/07900627.2017.1422702

Roach T. et. al., (2016) Comparison of Robust Optimization and Info-Gap Methods for Water Resource Management under Deep Uncertainty. Journal of Water Resources Planning and Management. https://doi.org/10.1061/(ASCE)WR.1943-5452.0000660

Rust W. et. al., (2018) A conceptual model for climatic teleconnection signal control on groundwater variability in Europe. Earth-Science Reviews. http://dx.doi.org/10.1016/j.earscirev.2017.09.017

Rust W. et. al, (2019) Understanding the potential of climate teleconnections to project future groundwater drought. Hydrology and Earth System Sciences. http://dx.doi.org/10.5194/hess-23-3233-2019

Salmoral G. et. al., (2019) A Probabilistic Risk Assessment of the National Economic Impacts of Regulatory Drought Management on Irrigated Agriculture. Earth’s Future. http://dx.doi.org/10.1029/2018EF001092

Simpson I. et. al., (2019) Structural and sampling uncertainty in observed UK daily precipitation extremes derived from an intercomparison of gridded data sets. International Journal of Climatology. http://dx.doi.org/10.1002/joc.5789

Smith K. et. al., (2018) Navigating Cascades of Uncertainty – As Easy as ABC? Not Quite. Journal of Extreme Events. http://dx.doi.org/10.1142/S2345737618500070

Smith K. et. al., (2019) A Multi-Objective Ensemble Approach to Hydrological Modelling in the UK: An Application to Historic Drought Reconstruction. Hydrology and Earth System Sciences. https://doi.org/10.5194/hess-23-3247-2019

Stahl K. et. al., (2016) Impacts of European drought events: insights from an international database of text-based reports. Natural Hazards and Earth System Sciences. http://dx.doi.org/10.5194/nhess-16-801-2016

Svensson C. et. al., (2019) Oceanic conditions associated with Euro-Atlantic high pressure and UK drought. Environmental Research Communications. https://doi.org/10.1088/2515-7620/ab42f7

Tanguy M. et. al., (2018) Historical gridded reconstruction of potential evapotranspiration for the UK. Earth System Science Data. http://dx.doi.org/10.5194/essd-10-951-2018

Tanguy M. et. al., (2021) Regional Differences in Spatiotemporal Drought Characteristics in Great Britain. Frontiers in Environmental Science. https://doi.org/10.3389/fenvs.2021.639649

Tijdeman E. et. al., (2018) Human influences on streamflow drought characteristics in England and Wales. Hydrology and Earth System Sciences. http://dx.doi.org/10.5194/hess-22-1051-2018

Tijdeman E. et. al., (2019) Natural and human influences on the link between meteorological and hydrological drought indices for a large set of catchments in the contiguous United States. Water Resources Research. https://doi.org/10.1029/2017WR022412

Trnka M. et. al., (2018) Priority questions in multidisciplinary drought research. Climate Research. http://dx.doi.org/10.3354/cr01509

Turner, S. et. al., (2021) The 2018/2019 drought in the UK: a hydrological appraisal. Weather. https://doi.org/10.1002/wea.4003

Van Lanen H., (2016) Hydrology needed to manage droughts: the 2015 European case. Hydrological Processes. https://doi.org/10.1002/hyp.10838

Van Loon A. et. al., (2016) Drought in a human-modified world: reframing drought definitions, understanding, and analysis approaches. Hydrology and Earth System Sciences. http://dx.doi.org/10.5194/hess-20-3631-2016

Van Loon A. et. al., (2016) Drought in the Anthropocene. Nature Geoscience. http://dx.doi.org/10.1038/ngeo2646

Vincente-Serrano, S. et. al., (2019) Climate, irrigation, and land cover change explain streamflow trends in countries bordering the Northeast Atlantic. Geophysical Reserach Letters. https://doi.org/10.1029/2019GL084084

Watts G. et. al., (2015) Climate change and water in the UK – past changes and future prospects. Progress in Physical Geography: Earth and Environment. http://dx.doi.org/10.1177/0309133314542957

Wilby R. et. al., (2015) Persistence of Hydrometeorological Droughts in the United Kingdom: A Regional Analysis of Multi-Season Rainfall and River Flow Anomalies. Journal of Extreme Events. http://dx.doi.org/10.1142/S2345737615500062

Technical Reports

Counsell, C. et. al., (2017) Drought Vulnerability Framework. Report Ref. No. 17/WR/02/12. 

Collins K. et. al., (2015) Drought: Understanding and reducing vulnerability through monitoring and early warning systems. Report of the DrIVER workshop, 17 March 2015, Wallingford, UK. 

Durant M., (2015) Description of groundwater droughts in the UK: 1890 to 2015. Groundwater Science Directorate Open Report OR/15/007. 

Graham R. et. al., (2015) Scoping, options analysis and design of a ‘Climate Information and Services Programme’ for Africa (CIASA). Final report, May 2015. 

Theses

Alarcon B. C., Understanding how irrigation influences hydrological droughts in England and Wales

Nicoud C., Drought impacts on key agricultural production in England using standardised drought indexes.

IMPETUS

Book Chapters

Prudhomme, C., IMPETUS: improving predictions of drought for user decision-making. In: Andreu, J. et. al. (eds.) Drought: research and science-policy interfacing. Leiden, CRC Press/Balkema, 287-292.

Journal Articles

Anderson B. et. al., (2018) Estimating scenarios for domestic water demand under drought conditions in England and Wales. Water Science and Technology: Water Supply. http://dx.doi.org/10.2166/ws.2018.035

Baker L. et. al., (2018) An Intercomparison of Skill and Overconfidence/Underconfidence of the Wintertime North Atlantic Oscillation in Multimodel Seasonal Forecasts. Geophysical Research Letters. http://dx.doi.org/10.1029/2018GL078838

Baker L. et. al., (2018) Improved seasonal prediction of UK regional precipitation using atmospheric circulation. International Journal of Climatology. http://dx.doi.org/10.1002/joc.5382

Bracegirdle T. et. al., (2018) Do CMIP5 Models Reproduce Observed Low-Frequency North Atlantic Jet Variability? Geophysical Research Letters. http://dx.doi.org/10.1029/2018GL078965

Dong B. et. al., (2016) The 2015 European Heat Wave. Bulletin of the American Meteorological Society. http://dx.doi.org/10.1175/BAMS-D-16-0140.1

Hannaford J. et. al., (2019) Enhancing Drought Monitoring and Early Warning for the United Kingdom through Stakeholder Coinquiries. Weather, Climate, and Society. http://dx.doi.org/10.1175/WCAS-D-18-0042.1

Harrigan S. et. al., (2017) Benchmarking Ensemble Streamflow Prediction skill in the UK. Hydrology and Earth System Sciences. https://doi.org/10.5194/hess-22-2023-2018

Kennedy D. et. al., (2016) The response of high-impact blocking weather systems to climate change. Geophysical Research Letters. http://dx.doi.org/10.1002/2016GL069725

Lopez A. et. al., (2017) Exploring the Usability of Probabilistic Weather Forecasts for Water Resources Decision-Making in the United Kingdom. Weather, Climate, and Society. http://dx.doi.org/10.1175/WCAS-D-16-0072.1

MacLeod D. et. al., (2016) Evaluating uncertainty in estimates of soil moisture memory with a reverse ensemble approach. Hydrology and Earth System Sciences. http://dx.doi.org/10.5194/hess-20-2737-2016

MacLeod D. et. al., (2016) Improved seasonal prediction of the hot summer of 2003 over Europe through better representation of uncertainty in the land surface. Quarterly Journal of the Royal Meteorological Society. http://dx.doi.org/10.1002/qj.2631

Manouseli D. et. al., (2017) Domestic Water Demand During Droughts in Temperate Climates: Synthesising Evidence for an Integrated Framework. Water Resources Management. http://dx.doi.org/10.1007/s11269-017-1818-z

Ossó A. et. al., (2018) Observational evidence of European summer weather patterns predictable from spring. Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences of the United States of America. http://doi.org/10.1073/pnas.1713146114

Parker T. et. al., (2018) Ensemble sensitivity analysis of Greenland blocking in medium-range forecasts. Quarterly Journal of the Royal Meteorological Society. http://dx.doi.org/10.1002/qj.3391

Parker, T. et. al., (2019) Seasonal predictability of the winter North Atlantic Oscillation from a jet stream perspective. Geophysical Research Letters. https://doi.org/10.1029/2019GL084402

Parry S. et. al., (2016) A systematic assessment of drought termination in the United Kingdom. Hydrology and Earth System Sciences. http://dx.doi.org/10.5194/hess-20-4265-2016

Parry S. et. al., (2018) Demonstrating the utility of a drought termination framework: prospects for groundwater level recovery in England and Wales in 2018 or beyond. Environmental Research Letters. https://doi.org/10.1088/1748-9326/aac78c

Peters W. et. al., (2018) Increased water-use efficiency and reduced CO uptake by plants during droughts at a continental-scale. Nature geoscience. http://doi.org/10.1038/s41561-018-0212-7

Richardson D. et. al., (2018) A new precipitation and drought climatology based on weather patterns. International Journal of Climatology. http://doi.org/10.1002/joc.5199

Richardson D. et. al., (2018) Weekly to multimonth persistence in sets of daily weather patterns over Europe and the North Atlantic Ocean. International Journal of Climatology. http://dx.doi.org/10.1002/joc.5932

Richardson D., (2020) Improving sub-seasonal forecast skill of meteorological drought: a weather pattern approach. Natural Hazards and Earth System Sciences. http://dx.doi.org/10.5194/nhess-20-107-2020

Robson J. et. al., (2017) Decadal prediction of the North Atlantic subpolar gyre in the HiGEM high-resolution climate model. Climate Dynamics. http://dx.doi.org/10.1007/s00382-017-3649-2

Shepherd T. et. al., (2018) Storylines: an alternative approach to representing uncertainty in physical aspects of climate change. Climatic Change. http://dx.doi.org/10.1007/s10584-018-2317-9

Smith K. et. al., (2018) Navigating Cascades of Uncertainty – As Easy as ABC? Not Quite. Journal of Extreme Events. http://dx.doi.org/10.1142/S2345737618500070

Smith K. et. al., (2019) A Multi-Objective Ensemble Approach to Hydrological Modelling in the UK: An Application to Historic Drought Reconstruction. Hydrology and Earth System Sciences. https://doi.org/10.5194/hess-23-3247-2019

Tanguy M. et. al., (2018) Historical gridded reconstruction of potential evapotranspiration for the UK. Earth System Science Data. http://dx.doi.org/10.5194/essd-10-951-2018

Vosper E., (2019) Building a UK climate impacts and risk assessment community. Weather. http://dx.doi.org/10.1002/wea.3592

Woollings T. et. al., (2018) Daily to Decadal Modulation of Jet Variability. Journal of Climate. http://dx.doi.org/10.1175/JCLI-D-17-0286.1

Drought risk and you (DRY)

Book Chapters

Bakewell, L., et. al. From Gallura to the Fens: Communities Performing Stories of Water. In: Roberts, L, et. al. (eds.) Water, Creativity and Meaning: Multidisciplinary understandings of human-water relationships.

Film/Video/Animation/Podcasts

DRY Digital Stories

Stories About Drought: Quinoa vs. Potato

Improvements to Research Infrastructure

The Reasons: a new, performative methodology, based on traditional practices.

Journal Articles

Afzal, M. et. al., (2019) Drought risk under climate and land use changes: implication to water resource availability at catchment scale. Water, 11 (9), 1790. 29, pp. https://doi.org/10.3390/w11091790

Ayling, S. et. al. (2021) Impact of Reduced Rainfall on Above Ground Dry Matter Production of Semi-natural Grassland in South Gloucestershire, UK: A Rainfall Manipulation Study. Frontiers in Environmental Science. https://doi.org/10.3389/fenvs.2021.686668

Ligouri A., (2021) Towards ‘Creative Participatory Science’: Exploring Future Scenarios Through Specialist Drought Science and Community Storytelling. Frontiers in Environmental Science. https://doi.org/10.3389/fenvs.2020.589856

McEwen L., (2019) (Un)natural drought. Environmental Scientist – Journal of the Institution of Environmental Sciences. https://www.the-ies.org/sites/default/files/journals/natural_disasters_december-19.pdf

McEwen L., (2021) Science-narrative explorations of ‘Drought Thresholds’ in the maritime Eden catchment, Scotland. Implications for local drought risk management. Frontiers in Environmental Science. https://www.frontiersin.org/articles/10.3389/fenvs.2021.589980/abstract

Morris J., (2019) Liberalisation of the English water industry: What implications for consumer engagement, environmental protection, and water security?. Utilities Policy. http://dx.doi.org/10.1016/j.jup.2019.100939

Roberts, E. et. al., (2017) Narratives as a mode of research evaluation in citizen science: Understanding broader science communication impacts. Journal of Science Communication. https://doi.org/10.22323/2.16040203

Wilson M., (2017) ‘Some Thoughts on Storytelling, Science and Dealing with a Post-Truth World’. Storytelling, Self and Society. https://digitalcommons.wayne.edu/storytelling/vol13/iss1/6

Weitkamp E., (2020) Communicating the hidden: toward a framework for drought risk communication in maritime climates. Climatic Change. https://doi.org/10.1007/s10584-020-02906-z

Yu, J et. al. (2021) Climate Change Impacts on the Future of Forests in Great Britain. Frontiers in Environmental Science. https://doi.org/10.3389/fenvs.2021.640530

Performance

There’s Something in the Water

Think Water: Storytelling for the future of Peterborough and the Fens

Monograph

Garde-Hansen, J., Remembering and Re-mediating Women in Drought. Media and Water: Communication, Culture and Perception I.

Research reports, summaries and guidance

Ayling, S. (2021) How will climate change affect permanent pastures? Report on the DRY project rainfall manipulation experiment in the Frome catchment. 110pp

Blake, J.R. et. al., (2014) Drought Risk and You (DRY): Case Study Catchments – Physical Characteristics andFunctioning, Work Package 3 Deliverable, CEH, Wallingford.

Climate Outreach: 2015. Communicating drought risk in a changing climate.

Grove, I. et. al., (2018) NERC DRY project Report and Results from HAU Agricultural Mesocosms. Unpublished report. 114pp. dryutility.info

Examples of thought pieces:

Blake, J.R. (2015) ‘Drought means different things to different people

Garde-Hansen, J. (2017) ‘Animating Drought: Making the invisible visible through a persistence of vision

Morris J (2017) Liberalisation of the water industry

Marius

Book Chapters

Grecksch, K., Water Resources. In: Keskitalo, E. et. al. (ed) Research Handbook on Climate Change Adaptation Policy

Kay, M., UKIA Irrigation Handbook

Williams, R., Water Quality. In: Rodda, J. et. al. (eds) Progress in Modern Hydrology: Past, Present and Future

Films/Podcasts

An overview of the MaRIUS project and footage from the MaRIUS LIVE! Event inc. talks.

Podcast – Algal Modelling

Podcast – Impact of drought and water scarcity on agriculture

Podcast – Impact of drought on ecosystems and their ecology

Podcast – Impact of drought on water quality

Podcast – Prof Jim Hall: An Introduction to the MaRIUS project

Podcast – Sociocultural perceptions and knowledge controversies.

Podcast – UK Drought governance arrangements

Podcast – Western US drought, and the generation of drought datasets for risk-based impact studies

Journal Articles

Bell V. et. al., (2018) The MaRIUS-G2G datasets: Grid-to-Grid model estimates of flow and soil moisture for Great Britain using observed and climate model driving data. Geoscience Data Journal. http://dx.doi.org/10.1002/gdj3.55

Bennett G. et. al., (2016) Historic drought puts the brakes on earthflows in Northern California. Geophysical Research Letters. http://dx.doi.org/10.1002/2016GL068378

Bermúdez M. et. al., (2017) Quantifying local rainfall dynamics and uncertain boundary conditions into a nested regional-local flood modelling system. Water Resources Research. http://dx.doi.org/10.1002/2016WR019903

Borgomeo E., et. al. (2016) Trading-off tolerable risk with climate change adaptation costs in water supply systems. Water Resources Research. http://dx.doi.org/10.1002/2015WR018164

Borgomeo E. et. al., (2018) Risk, Robustness and Water Resources Planning Under Uncertainty. Earth’s Future. http://dx.doi.org/10.1002/2017EF000730

Brenner S. et. al., (2018) Process-based modelling to evaluate simulated groundwater levels and frequencies in a Chalk catchment in south-western England. Natural Hazards and Earth System Sciences. http://dx.doi.org/10.5194/nhess-18-445-2018

Bussi G. et. al., (2016) Impacts of climate change, land-use change and phosphorus reduction on phytoplankton in the River Thames (UK). The Science of the total environment. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.scitotenv.2016.02.109

Bussi G. et. al., (2017) Climate and land-use change impact on faecal indicator bacteria in a temperate maritime catchment (the River Conwy, Wales). Journal of Hydrology. http://dx.doi.org/10.1016/j.jhydrol.2017.08.011

Bussi G. et. al., (2017) Dynamic response of land use and river nutrient concentration to long-term climatic changes. The Science of the total environment. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.scitotenv.2017.03.069

Bussi G. et. al., (2017) Seasonal and Interannual Changes in Sediment Transport Identified through Sediment Rating Curves. Journal of Hydrologic Engineering. http://dx.doi.org/10.1061/(ASCE)HE.1943-5584.0001466

Bussi G. et. al., (2018) Modelling the effects of climate and land-use change on the hydrochemistry and ecology of the River Wye (Wales). The Science of the total environment. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.scitotenv.2018.01.295

Cook C., (2016) Drought planning as a proxy for water security in England. Current Opinion in Environmental Sustainability. http://dx.doi.org/10.1016/j.cosust.2016.11.005

Cook C., (2016) Regulating the Risks of Domestic Greywater Reuse: A Comparison of England and California. Built Environment. http://dx.doi.org/10.2148/benv.42.2.230

Coxon G. et. al., (2015) A novel framework for discharge uncertainty quantification applied to 500 UK gauging stations. Water Resources Research. https://doi.org/10.1002/2014WR016532

Coxon G., (2019) DECIPHeR v1: Dynamic fluxEs and ConnectIvity for Predictions of HydRology. Geoscientific Model Development. http://dx.doi.org/10.5194/gmd-12-2285-2019

Crossman J. et. al., (2014) Macronutrient cycles: themed issue. Environmental science. Processes & impacts. https://doi.org/10.1039/C4EM90017K

Decker C., (2018) Utility and regulatory decision-making under conditions of uncertainty: Balancing resilience and affordability. Utilities Policy. http://dx.doi.org/10.1016/j.jup.2018.01.007

Fowler K. et. al., (2018) Simulating Runoff Under Changing Climatic Conditions: A Framework for Model Improvement. Water Resources Research. http://dx.doi.org/10.1029/2018WR023989

Freire-González J. et. al., (2017) A Scenario-Based Framework for Assessing the Economic Impacts of Potential Droughts. Water Economics and Policy. http://dx.doi.org/10.1142/S2382624X17500072

Freire-González J. et. al., (2017) The Economic Impacts of Droughts: A Framework for Analysis. Ecological Economics. http://dx.doi.org/10.1016/j.ecolecon.2016.11.005

Garrick D. E. et. al., (2017) Valuing water for sustainable development. Science. https://doi.org/10.1126/science.aao4942

Grecksch, K. (2018). Scenarios for resilient drought and water scarcity management in England and Wales. International Journal of River Basin Management. https://doi.org/10.1080/15715124.2018.1461106

Grecksch K. et. al., (2018) Drought, Water Scarcity and UK Businesses and Industries. An Exploratory Study into Challenges and Opportunities. SSRN Electronic Journal. http://dx.doi.org/10.2139/ssrn.3256736

Grecksch K., (2018) Running Out of Water and Options? An Assessment of Current Drought and Water Scarcity Management Options in England and Wales. SSRN Electronic Journal. http://dx.doi.org/10.2139/ssrn.3245965

Grecksch K. et. al., (2021) Drought and Water Scarcity Management Policy in England and Wales—Current Failings and the Potential of Civic Innovation. Frontiers in Environmental Science. https://doi.org/10.3389/fenvs.2021.574975

Guillod B. et. al., (2016) weather@home 2: validation of an improved global-regional climate modelling system. Geoscientific Model Development. https://doi.org/10.5194/gmd-10-1849-2017

Guillod B. et. al., (2018) A large set of potential past, present and future hydro-meteorological time series for the UK. Hydrology and Earth System Sciences. http://dx.doi.org/10.5194/hess-22-611-2018

Hall J. W. et. al., (2014) Water Security. Coping with the curse of freshwater variability. Science. https://doi.org/10.1126/science.1257890

Hall J. et. al., (2019) Resilience of Water Resource Systems: Lessons from England. Water Security. http://dx.doi.org/10.1016/j.wasec.2019.100052

Hall J. et. al., (2019) Riskbased water resources planning in practice: a blueprint for the water industry in England. Water and Environment Journal. http://dx.doi.org/10.1111/wej.12479

Harrington L., (2019) Embracing the complexity of extreme weather events when quantifying their likelihood of recurrence in a warming world. Environmental Research Letters. http://dx.doi.org/10.1088/1748-9326/aaf2dc

Harrington L. et. al., (2019) How Uneven Are Changes to Impact Relevant Climate Hazards in a 1.5°C World and Beyond? Geophysical Research Letters. https://doi.org/10.1029/2018GL078888

Ives M. et. al., (2018) Navigating the water trilemma: a strategic assessment of long-term national water resource management options for Great Britain. Water and Environment Journal. http://dx.doi.org/10.1111/wej.12352

Kay A. et. al., (2018) National-scale analysis of low flow frequency: historical trends and potential future changes. Climatic Change. http://dx.doi.org/10.1007/s10584-018-2145-y

Kiang J. et. al., (2018) A Comparison of Methods for Streamflow Uncertainty Estimation. Water Resources Research. http://dx.doi.org/10.1029/2018WR022708

Knox J. et. al., (2018) Identifying Trade-Offs and Reconciling Competing Demands for Water: Integrating Agriculture Into a Robust Decision-Making Framework. Earth’s Future. http://dx.doi.org/10.1002/2017EF000741

Lane R., (2019) Benchmarking the predictive capability of hydrological models for river flow and flood peak predictions across over 1000 catchments in Great Britain. Hydrology and Earth System Sciences. http://dx.doi.org/10.5194/hess-23-4011-2019

Lange B. et. al., (2015) Mapping a Developing Governance Space: Managing Drought in the UK. Current Legal Problems. http://dx.doi.org/10.1093/clp/cuv014

Lange B. et. al., (2017) A framework for a joint hydro-meteorological-social analysis of drought. The Science of the Total Environment. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.scitotenv.2016.10.145

Lewis E. et. al., (2018) A rule based quality control method for hourly rainfall data and a 1 km resolution gridded hourly rainfall dataset for Great Britain: CEH-GEAR1hr. Journal of Hydrology. http://dx.doi.org/10.1016/j.jhydrol.2018.07.034

Lee J. et. al., (2020) Impacts of Droughts and Acidic Deposition on Long-Term Surface Water Dissolved Organic Carbon Concentrations in Upland Catchments in Wales. Frontiers in Environmental Science. https://doi.org/10.3389/fenvs.2020.578611

Moorhouse H. L. et. al., (2018) Characterisation of a major phytoplankton bloom in the River Thames (UK) using flow cytometry and high performance liquid chromatography. The Science of the Total Environment. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.scitotenv.2017.12.128

Mortazavi-Naeini M., (2019) Assessment of Risks to Public Water Supply From Low Flows and Harmful Water Quality in a Changing Climate. Water Resources Research. http://dx.doi.org/10.1029/2018WR022865

Piniewski M. et. al., (2017) Responses of fish and invertebrates to floods and droughts in Europe. Ecohydrology. http://dx.doi.org/10.1002/eco.1793

Qadrdan M. et. al., (2019) Electricity Systems Capacity Expansion Under Cooling Water availability Constraints. IET Energy Systems Integration. http://dx.doi.org/10.1049/iet-esi.2018.0024

Rahman M. et. al., (2019) Towards a computationally efficient free-surface groundwater flow boundary condition for large-scale hydrological modelling. Advances in Water Resources. http://dx.doi.org/10.1016/j.advwatres.2018.11.015

Rey D. et. al., (2016) Modelling and mapping the economic value of supplemental irrigation in a humid climate. Agricultural Water Management. http://dx.doi.org/10.1016/j.agwat.2016.04.017

Rey D. et. al., (2017) Developing drought resilience in irrigated agriculture in the face of increasing water scarcity. Regional Environmental Change. http://dx.doi.org/10.1007/s10113-017-1116-6

Rio M. et. al., (2018) Evaluation of changing surface water abstraction reliability for supplemental irrigation under climate change. Agricultural Water Management. http://dx.doi.org/10.1016/j.agwat.2018.05.005

Rudd A. et. al., (2017) National-scale analysis of simulated hydrological droughts (1891-2015). Journal of Hydrology. http://dx.doi.org/10.1016/j.jhydrol.2017.05.018

Salmoral G. et. al., (2019) A Probabilistic Risk Assessment of the National Economic Impacts of Regulatory Drought Management on Irrigated Agriculture. Earth’s Future. http://dx.doi.org/10.1029/2018EF001092

Sarmiento E., (2019) Biopolitics, discipline, and hydrocitizenship: Drought management and water governance in England. Transactions of the Institute of British Geographers. http://dx.doi.org/10.1111/tran.12288

Trnka M. et. al., (2018) Priority questions in multidisciplinary drought research. Climate Research. http://dx.doi.org/10.3354/cr01509

Van Eerdenbrugh K. et. al., (2017) Consistency assessment of rating curve data in various locations using Bidirectional Reach (BReach). Hydrology and Earth System Sciences. http://dx.doi.org/10.5194/hess-21-5315-2017

Van Loon A. et. al., (2016) Drought in the Anthropocene. Nature Geoscience. http://dx.doi.org/10.1038/ngeo2646

Van Loon A., (2019) Using paired catchments to quantify the human influence on hydrological droughts. Hydrology and Earth System Sciences. http://dx.doi.org/10.5194/hess-23-1725-2019

Westerberg I. et. al., (2016) Uncertainty in hydrological signatures for gauged and ungauged catchments. Water Resources Research. http://dx.doi.org/10.1002/2015WR017635

Whitehead P. et. al., (2015) Dynamic modelling of multiple phytoplankton groups in rivers with an application to the Thames river system in the UK. Environmental Modelling & Software. http://dx.doi.org/10.1016/j.envsoft.2015.09.010

Whitehead P. G., (2016) An INCA model for pathogens in rivers and catchments: Model structure, sensitivity analysis and application to the River Thames catchment, UK. The Science of the total environment. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.scitotenv.2016.01.128

Policy Briefings/Reports

Cook C., (2017) Drought planning in England: a primer.

Grecksch K., (2018) Governance of water scarcity and droughts.

Rey D. et. al., (2018) Assessing opportunities for secondary markets for water in response to proposed abstraction reforms: Key findings.

ENDOWS

Books

Grecksch, K. (forthcoming). Drought and water scarcity in the UK: Social science perspectives on management and knowledge. London: Palgrave Macmillan.

Journal Articles

Barker L. et. al., (2022) Dynamic High Resolution Hydrological Status Monitoring in Real-Time: The UK Water Resources Portal. Frontiers in Environmental Science. https://doi.org/10.3389/fenvs.2022.752201

Grecksch, K., (2021) Achieving Water Efficiency in the Public Sector Through Social Norms. Frontiers in Environmental Science. https://doi.org/10.3389/fenvs.2021.575583

Hannaford J. et. al., (2019) Enhancing Drought Monitoring and Early Warning for the United Kingdom through Stakeholder Coinquiries. Weather, Climate, and Society. http://dx.doi.org/10.1175/WCAS-D-18-0042.1

Holman I., (2021) A Multi-Level Framework for Adaptation to Drought Within Temperate Agriculture. Frontiers in Environmental Science. https://doi.org/10.3389/fenvs.2020.589871

Larbey R., (2020) Water Scarcity Communication in the UK: Learning From Water Company Communications Following the 2018 Heatwave. Frontiers in Environmental Science. https://doi.org/10.3389/fenvs.2020.578423

Sefton C. et. al., (2019) Visualising and quantifying the variability of hydrological state in intermittent rivers. Fundamental and Applied Limnology. https://doi.org/10.1127/fal/2019/1149

West H. et. al, (2022) The Influence of the North Atlantic Oscillation and East Atlantic Pattern on Drought in British Catchments. Frontiers of Environmental Science. https://doi.org/10.3389/fenvs.2022.754597

Films/Videos

About Drought – Highlights of the 2018 Showcase Event

Catharina Landstrom: Community Modelling

Gemma Coxon: Hydrological Modelling of Drought and Low Flows

Jamie Hannaford: The UK’s Hydrological Status in August 2018

Katie Smith: Reconstructed Flow Data

Kevin Grecksch: Water Efficiency

Len Shaffrey: Drought Forecasting

Lucy Barker: Historic Hydrological Droughts

Matt Ascott: Impact of drought on groundwater yield

Matt Fry: outputs from the Drought and Water Scarcity Programme

Paul Whitehead: Water quality modelling in the River Trent

Sally Stevens: About Drought.

Podcasts

Pearce, R., Who’d Have Thought That? About Drought podcast series (8 episodes)

Policy Briefings/Reports

How to plan and manage water resources for public water
supply: future directions

Which farming areas of England and Wales are most at risk
from economic losses due to drought?

Report Cards